Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.338633 0.394791 0.457544 0.532904 0.621009 0.720837 0.842654
2025-01-19 0.249459 0.322845 0.413922 0.535464 0.693762 0.893433 1.165227
2025-01-26 0.211824 0.294472 0.404707 0.562916 0.784958 1.086707 1.530037
2025-02-02 0.185899 0.273916 0.398401 0.588010 0.870926 1.279687 1.919282
2025-02-09 0.164402 0.254690 0.389010 0.604399 0.943303 1.459718 2.313373
2025-02-16 0.145143 0.235086 0.375045 0.610003 0.997648 1.617143 2.692926
2025-02-23 0.127766 0.215449 0.357563 0.606287 1.034738 1.749831 3.048854
2025-03-02 0.110963 0.194137 0.334061 0.588488 1.044489 1.836589 3.336568
2025-03-09 0.102734 0.186149 0.331548 0.605739 1.116130 2.037261 3.852511
2025-03-16 0.093392 0.174833 0.321562 0.607835 1.159920 2.192612 4.305264
2025-03-23 0.086605 0.167240 0.317161 0.619313 1.222073 2.388838 4.862922
2025-03-30 0.077903 0.154859 0.302213 0.608349 1.238728 2.498811 5.262389
2025-04-06 0.070627 0.144539 0.290303 0.602527 1.266296 2.636819 5.746727
2025-04-13 0.065099 0.137075 0.283191 0.605700 1.313194 2.821355 6.360494
2025-04-20 0.062830 0.136064 0.289037 0.636836 1.423865 3.155414 7.356464
2025-04-27 0.060451 0.134490 0.293446 0.665308 1.532349 3.498996 8.426693
2025-05-04 0.057432 0.131109 0.293495 0.683904 1.620693 3.808676 9.463544
2025-05-11 0.053761 0.125786 0.288559 0.690264 1.681016 4.060912 10.397630
2025-05-18 0.049714 0.119088 0.279677 0.686047 1.715088 4.254522 11.212486
2025-05-25 0.045054 0.110363 0.265029 0.665850 1.706656 4.342004 11.762957
2025-06-01 0.043237 0.108359 0.266218 0.685426 1.802364 4.706081 13.115815
2025-06-08 0.040585 0.103945 0.260978 0.687804 1.853309 4.960566 14.204904
2025-06-15 0.038714 0.101301 0.259852 0.700830 1.934596 5.306931 15.610972